Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.006715 0.007762 0.008991 0.010556 0.012525 0.014959 0.018259
2025-11-02 0.005235 0.006472 0.008072 0.010356 0.013642 0.018392 0.026190
2025-11-09 0.004298 0.005529 0.007219 0.009810 0.013889 0.020492 0.033102
2025-11-16 0.003698 0.004898 0.006619 0.009407 0.014126 0.022531 0.040954
2025-11-23 0.003384 0.004606 0.006434 0.009561 0.015260 0.026501 0.055392
2025-11-30 0.003067 0.004261 0.006104 0.009391 0.015745 0.029399 0.069920
2025-12-07 0.002779 0.003921 0.005729 0.009063 0.015826 0.031455 0.084335
2025-12-14 0.002572 0.003686 0.005491 0.008934 0.016267 0.034575 0.106491
2025-12-21 0.002470 0.003605 0.005498 0.009259 0.017784 0.041343 0.156135
2025-12-28 0.002403 0.003573 0.005584 0.009752 0.019855 0.051206 0.252945
2026-01-04 0.002294 0.003457 0.005504 0.009885 0.021080 0.059328 0.379874
2026-01-11 0.002167 0.003300 0.005327 0.009778 0.021634 0.065486 0.536149
2026-01-18 0.002057 0.003173 0.005215 0.009848 0.022886 0.076729 0.940882
2026-01-25 0.001928 0.003005 0.005006 0.009663 0.023356 0.085352 1.582401
2026-02-01 0.001782 0.002792 0.004689 0.009166 0.022672 0.087327 2.179481
2026-02-08 0.001663 0.002622 0.004440 0.008799 0.022323 0.091252 3.371119
2026-02-15 0.001604 0.002556 0.004396 0.008940 0.023808 0.109696 11.896157
2026-02-22 0.001523 0.002445 0.004248 0.008784 0.024167 0.121184 45.077693
2026-03-01 0.001438 0.002319 0.004056 0.008485 0.023880 0.127330 227.113848
2026-03-08 0.001374 0.002231 0.003938 0.008367 0.024293 0.141433 NaN
2026-03-15 0.001348 0.002212 0.003967 0.008664 0.026610 0.183473 NaN
2026-03-22 0.001333 0.002215 0.004044 0.009114 0.029920 0.257453 NaN
2026-03-29 0.001296 0.002171 0.004011 0.009235 0.031762 0.324099 NaN